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World · 19 September 2026

JP Morgan: Why oil price predictions are now impossible

JP Morgan: Why oil price predictions are now impossible

Photo by 龔 月強 on Pexels

Investment bank JP Morgan admits it cannot predict oil prices due to the uncertain outcome of the US-Iran conflict. Analysts had assumed "economic red lines" would be crossed, such as oil topping $100 a barrel, which has now occurred. The bank states it no longer has a baseline view for the first time since the war began.

Reported by BBC · How we write briefs

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Why are oil prices so important? Who is JP Morgan? What are 'economic red lines'?

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