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Explained in plain English

How does the Met Office know?

The Met Office uses complex computer models that simulate the Earth's climate system, incorporating vast amounts of global data, including sea surface temperatures in the Pacific. By observing the developing El Niño and its projected strength, they can forecast its likely influence on global weather patterns, including the potential for a cold UK winter.

Stories that explain this

Met Office warns of cold UK winter from El Niño

Related explainers

What does a cold winter mean? Is El Niño linked to climate change? How does El Niño reach the UK? What is the Met Office? Who are the Met Office? Who is the Met Office? How does the Met Office forecast? Met Office forecasts

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