General · 2 June 2026
OBR: Energy shocks could add £23.1bn to UK borrowing

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Higher government debt costs and pressure on public spending could grow if energy prices remain elevated. The Office for Budget Responsibility said lessons from the Ukraine-linked energy shock would be used in this year’s Budget after reviewing its forecasting methods. Its earlier assessment estimated borrowing would rise by an average of £23.1bn annually under a major supply disruption, while oil prices briefly reached $114 a barrel.
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